Geopolitics / Diplomacy / Energy
Iran / Israel / U.S. / Lebanon / Energy crisis watch
Chronological coverage of the Iran, Israel, U.S., and Lebanon conflict and its effects on diplomacy, shipping, and energy markets.
Current status
Hormuz détente still hinges on a Muscat shipping formula
Donald Trump said on Aug. 9 that U.S. escalation rhetoric has eased and no new major strike was announced, while Marco Rubio said U.S.-Iran talks on Hormuz shipping continue through Oman but no final accord exists. Iran said Muscat remains the only live channel and still rejects direct U.S. negotiations, while recent U.S. strike cancellation and tanker-enforcement reports show the Gulf tension is unresolved.
Supporting entries
Synthesis from the linked entries · refreshed · method
- Coverage span
- 34 months
- Ledger entries
- 288
- Named sources
- 397
Latest
Latest developments
Full ledger
Latest to earliest
288 sourced entries
Lebanon sets pilot-zone condition for Rome talks
L'Orient, citing AFP, reported Lebanon would attend the next Israel-Lebanon talks in Rome only if Israel withdraws from two southern pilot zones. AP separately reported that the framework's Hezbollah-disarmament condition is deepening Lebanon's internal divide and raising fears of civil conflict.
- Local time
- 10:11 AM Beirut time, Jul 9, 2026
- Location
- Beirut / Rome negotiation track
- Relationship
- Update
Sources Trump declares the U.S.-Iran ceasefire "over"
President Trump declared the interim U.S.-Iran ceasefire "over" after renewed U.S. strikes on Iran, calling further talks "a waste of time" and saying Washington could "probably" strike again. A running war timeline recorded him floating a move on Kharg Island and a reimposed naval blockade. Tehran said it had targeted 85 U.S. military sites in Bahrain and Kuwait in response to what it called U.S. ceasefire violations, and Washington revoked a waiver that had let Iran sell crude after attacks on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz.
- Local time
- 2:30 PM Washington time, Jul 8, 2026
- Location
- Washington, D.C. / Iran
- Relationship
- Update
Sources Washington revokes the oil licence at the centre of the deal
Hours after the three tankers were struck, the United States revoked the licence authorising the sale of Iranian oil that had been granted under the interim agreement, reversing one of the memorandum's core economic provisions.
- Local time
- 6:00 PM New York time, Jul 7, 2026
- Location
- Washington, D.C., United States
- Relationship
- Update
Source CENTCOM says 80-plus Iran targets hit
CENTCOM said U.S. forces hit more than 80 Iranian targets on July 7 in response to Iran's latest attacks on commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz. AP later tied the strike cycle to three tanker attacks and the collapse of ceasefire confidence.
- Local time
- 8:00 PM Iran time, Jul 7, 2026
- Location
- Iranian coastline / Strait of Hormuz approaches
- Relationship
- Update
Sources Three ships hit inside 24 hours as the truce gives way
U.S. officials said Iran's military fired at least two missiles at commercial ships transiting the strait on Monday night and that the IRGC attacked a third commercial ship on Tuesday morning. Iranian state television said an LNG tanker was attacked after ignoring warnings but did not directly claim the assault. Two ships sustained damage and continued their voyages with no injuries, according to the U.K. maritime agency.
- Local time
- 9:00 AM Dubai time, Jul 7, 2026
- Location
- Strait of Hormuz
- Relationship
- Update
Sources LNG tanker abandoned and a Saudi tanker damaged in one night
The Qatari-owned LPG tanker Al Rekayyat was abandoned after a fire in its engine room, and the Saudi-flagged oil tanker Wedyan was damaged by projectiles in the strait. The Joint Maritime Information Center cited both in raising its Strait of Hormuz threat level to severe.
- Local time
- 12:00 PM Dubai time, Jul 6, 2026
- Location
- Strait of Hormuz
- Relationship
- Update
Source Iran orders vessels onto its own routes as negotiators leave Doha
Iran issued a fresh warning for vessels to follow Tehran-designated routes through the strait, while Iranian officials discussed unfreezing assets and Axios reported U.S. envoys pressing Iran not to introduce tolls. Iranian negotiators then left Doha, pausing diplomacy ahead of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's funeral. Qatar said the indirect discussions had made positive progress.
- Local time
- 12:00 PM Tehran time, Jul 2, 2026
- Location
- Tehran, Iran
- Relationship
- Update
Source Technical talks continue in Doha as Oman floats transit service fees
Qatar confirmed technical talks between Iran and the United States were continuing with no high-level meetings scheduled, and Vice President Vance said talks were going well. CENTCOM said its commander spoke with regional military counterparts about the security environment including the strait. Oman delivered a proposal to the United States and allies for shipping companies to pay service fees to use the waterway.
- Local time
- 12:00 PM Qatar time, Jul 1, 2026
- Location
- Doha, Qatar
- Relationship
- Update
Source UN report warns the damage outlasts any reopening
The IMO published an UNCTAD report titled Strait of Hormuz Disruptions: Beyond reopening, lasting impacts on vulnerable economies, assessing the economic damage to import-dependent states. The IMO has logged 51 maritime incidents involving commercial vessels across the Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz and Gulf of Oman since the war began.
- Local time
- 12:00 PM London time, Jun 30, 2026
- Location
- London, United Kingdom
- Relationship
- Update
Source Second night of U.S. strikes as the waterway threat level is raised
CENTCOM said U.S. aircraft hit Iranian military surveillance infrastructure, communications systems, air defence sites, drone storage and minelaying capabilities in response to the Kiku attack. The Joint Maritime Information Center raised its Strait of Hormuz threat level to substantial from moderate.
- Local time
- 10:00 PM Tehran time, Jun 27, 2026
- Location
- Iran
- Relationship
- Update
Sources Laden VLCC Kiku hit by a drone with two million barrels aboard
The Panama-flagged VLCC Kiku was struck by a one-way attack drone at about 08:00 GMT while carrying QatarEnergy crude. UKMTO said the bridge was damaged and all crew were safe, with no leakage. AIS draught readings indicated the 300,866 dwt tanker was laden with two million barrels. CENTCOM said Iran launched the drone after being given a chance to honour the ceasefire.
- Local time
- 12:00 PM Dubai time, Jun 27, 2026
- Location
- Strait of Hormuz
- Relationship
- Update
Sources Israel and Lebanon sign U.S. framework
AP reported Secretary of State Marco Rubio hosted Israel and Lebanon for a Washington framework agreement that starts a process for dismantling Hezbollah and restoring Lebanese control of territory held by Israel. Hezbollah was outside the deal and warned it would resist disarmament.
- Local time
- 12:00 PM Washington time, Jun 26, 2026
- Location
- Washington, D.C.
- Relationship
- Update
Sources CENTCOM strikes Qeshm Island after the first memorandum violation
U.S. Central Command conducted retaliatory strikes on Iranian military targets including Qeshm Island, hitting missile and drone infrastructure and coastal radar sites.
- Local time
- 12:00 PM Tehran time, Jun 26, 2026
- Location
- Qeshm Island, Hormozgan Province, Iran
- Relationship
- Update
Source Ever Lovely hit in the southern corridor, stranding 11,000 crew
The Singapore-flagged container ship Ever Lovely was struck by an Iranian drone while transiting the southern corridor, a route Iran does not recognise. The IMO had just launched a plan to evacuate 11,000 crew stranded aboard vessels in the Arabian Gulf; the operation was suspended after the attack. President Trump said Iran launched four drones and three were shot down.
- Local time
- 12:00 PM Dubai time, Jun 25, 2026
- Location
- Strait of Hormuz, southern corridor
- Relationship
- Update
Sources Mediators announce a 60-day roadmap and a direct deconfliction line
A joint statement issued early Monday by Pakistan and Qatar said the high-level committee had agreed a roadmap towards a final deal within 60 days, and that a communication line between the United States and Iran would run for 60 days to avoid incidents and miscommunication. Switzerland, the facilitator, welcomed the roadmap and said technical talks could resume immediately.
- Local time
- 6:00 AM Zurich time, Jun 22, 2026
- Location
- Buergenstock, Nidwalden, Switzerland
- Relationship
- Update
Source U.S. and Iran open Buergenstock talks under Pakistani and Qatari mediation
Delegations arrived at the Buergenstock resort above Lake Lucerne on Sunday morning for the first high-level round under the Islamabad Memorandum, with Pakistan and Qatar mediating and Switzerland acting as facilitator. Dawn reported Vice President JD Vance landed at 5:59 a.m. local time.
- Local time
- 9:00 AM Zurich time, Jun 21, 2026
- Location
- Buergenstock, Nidwalden, Switzerland
- Relationship
- Update
Sources